Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC vs Masafi Al Janoob

17 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC

Masafi Al Janoob

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.7% DRAW 30.3% AWAY 26.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% 2.17 DRAW 30.3% 3.00 AWAY 27.9% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Masafi Al Janoob

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC Masafi Al Janoob

Shots 6.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Masafi Al Janoob, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC Masafi Al Janoob

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC Masafi Al Janoob

The combined recent performance profile favours Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Peshmerga Sulaymaniya SC ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

Masafi Al Janoob ↑ +0.05 (+1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.