Deportivo Binacional vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Deportivo Binacional

Academia Deportiva Cantolao

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.6% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 47.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.2% 3.45 DRAW 25.1% 3.60 AWAY 48.6% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Academia Deportiva Cantolao

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Binacional Academia Deportiva Cantolao

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Academia Deportiva Cantolao, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Binacional Academia Deportiva Cantolao

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 6.3

Deportivo Binacional has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Binacional Academia Deportiva Cantolao

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deportivo Binacional ↓ -0.25 (-6.8%)

Academia Deportiva Cantolao ↑ +0.12 (+6.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.