Ayacucho FC vs Union Minas

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.0 pp

Ayacucho FC

Union Minas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 30.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% 2.47 DRAW 30.6% 3.10 AWAY 31.1% 3.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Union Minas

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ayacucho FC Union Minas

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ayacucho FC Union Minas

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Union Minas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ayacucho FC Union Minas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Ayacucho FC ↑ +0.35 (+16.5%)

Union Minas = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.