Conil CF vs Dos Hermanas

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Conil CF

Dos Hermanas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 38.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% 3.15 DRAW 27.7% 3.30 AWAY 43.3% 2.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Conil CF clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.0% win probability, compared with 29.0% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Conil CF

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Conil CF Dos Hermanas

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Conil CF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Conil CF Dos Hermanas

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Conil CF Dos Hermanas

The combined recent performance profile favours Conil CF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Conil CF ↑ +0.15 (+5.0%)

Dos Hermanas ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.