Rwanda U20 vs Ethiopia U20

17 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Rwanda U20

Ethiopia U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% 2.29 DRAW 30.6% 3.00 AWAY 29.2% 3.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ethiopia U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rwanda U20 Ethiopia U20

Shots 1.8 · On target 0.5 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Ethiopia U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rwanda U20 Ethiopia U20

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Rwanda U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rwanda U20 Ethiopia U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Ethiopia U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rwanda U20 = (0.0%)

Ethiopia U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.