Al-Hussein Baghdad vs Amanat Baghdad

17 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Al-Hussein Baghdad

Amanat Baghdad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.7% DRAW 32.2% AWAY 32.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% 2.71 DRAW 31.7% 2.91 AWAY 34.2% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Amanat Baghdad

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Hussein Baghdad Amanat Baghdad

Shots 9.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Amanat Baghdad, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Hussein Baghdad Amanat Baghdad

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Al-Hussein Baghdad has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Hussein Baghdad Amanat Baghdad

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al-Hussein Baghdad ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Amanat Baghdad ↑ +0.15 (+5.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.