Al-Masafi vs Naft Al-Basra

17 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Al-Masafi

Naft Al-Basra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% DRAW 31.5% AWAY 31.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% 2.51 DRAW 31.2% 2.90 AWAY 32.9% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al-Masafi has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Masafi Naft Al-Basra

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Al-Masafi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Masafi Naft Al-Basra

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Masafi Naft Al-Basra

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al-Masafi ↑ +0.06 (+2.4%)

Naft Al-Basra ↑ +0.05 (+1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.