General Lamadrid Reserves vs Estrella del Sur Reserves

17 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

General Lamadrid Reserves

Estrella del Sur Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 39.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% 2.86 DRAW 28.4% 3.25 AWAY 39.3% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Estrella del Sur Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

General Lamadrid Reserves Estrella del Sur Reserves

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Estrella del Sur Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

General Lamadrid Reserves Estrella del Sur Reserves

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

General Lamadrid Reserves Estrella del Sur Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

General Lamadrid Reserves ↑ +0.06 (+2.3%)

Estrella del Sur Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.