Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Deportivo Espanol Reserves

17 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

Deportivo Espanol Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 45.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.2% 3.90 DRAW 26.2% 3.75 AWAY 48.6% 2.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.9% win probability, compared with 25.2% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves Deportivo Espanol Reserves

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves Deportivo Espanol Reserves

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves Deportivo Espanol Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves ↓ -0.02 (-0.4%)

Deportivo Espanol Reserves ↑ +0.28 (+16.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.