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Hungary Cup · HU

Bicskei TC vs Ferencvarosi TC

28 Oct 2026 · 12:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for Ferencvarosi TC. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, the exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced.

The visitors have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.05 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.11. At this price, an away win for Ferencvarosi TC does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
Bicskei TC
STOCHASTICBET 2.5%
BET365 2.8% odd 34.00
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 7.5%
BET365 7.8% odd 12.00
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Ferencvarosi TC
STOCHASTICBET 90.0%
BET365 89.4% odd 1.05
DIFFERENCE +0.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 18:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Ferencvarosi TC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Bicskei TC Ferencvarosi TC
Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 18.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Ferencvarosi TC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Bicskei TC Ferencvarosi TC
Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Ferencvarosi TC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Bicskei TC Ferencvarosi TC

The combined recent performance profile favours Ferencvarosi TC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 22:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Hungary Cup · 53 matches with scores · 8 with shots · coverage 15.1%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Bicskei TC6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DLWLLW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
Ferencvarosi TC6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WWDWDD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bicskei TCHome team
—Insufficient data
Ferencvarosi TCAway team
—Insufficient data
Bicskei TC: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesFerencvarosi TC: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bicskei TCHome team
—Insufficient data
Ferencvarosi TCAway team
—Insufficient data
Bicskei TC: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesFerencvarosi TC: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bicskei TCHome team
—Insufficient data
Ferencvarosi TCAway team
—Insufficient data
Bicskei TC: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesFerencvarosi TC: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bicskei TCHome team
—Insufficient data
Ferencvarosi TCAway team
—Insufficient data
Bicskei TC: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesFerencvarosi TC: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Bicskei TCHome team
−0.891.67 actual
Ferencvarosi TCAway team
+0.212.33 actual
Bicskei TC: 1.67 · league average 2.56 · 6 valid matchesFerencvarosi TC: 2.33 · league average 2.12 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Bicskei TCHome team
—Insufficient data
Ferencvarosi TCAway team
—Insufficient data
Bicskei TC: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesFerencvarosi TC: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Bicskei TCHome team
—Insufficient data
Ferencvarosi TCAway team
—Insufficient data
Bicskei TC: — · league average — · 5 valid matchesFerencvarosi TC: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Bicskei TC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Home0–09 / 102 / 2
17/10/2026Away1–39 / 175 / 12
10/10/2026Home2–015 / 178 / 6
03/10/2026Away1–3——
26/09/2026Home4–513 / 106 / 8
20/09/2026Away2–015 / 93 / 2
Ferencvarosi TC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
25/10/2026Home5–022 / 410 / 0
22/10/2026Home4–115 / 106 / 5
18/10/2026Away1–126 / 48 / 2
15/10/2026Home2–112 / 156 / 6
10/10/2026Home1–19 / 75 / 3
20/09/2026Away1–113 / 124 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.