ZFK TSC (W) vs ZFK Spartak Subotica (W)

17 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

ZFK TSC (W)

ZFK Spartak Subotica (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 28.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% 2.35 DRAW 26.9% 3.70 AWAY 30.7% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ZFK TSC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.3% win probability, compared with 42.4% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: ZFK TSC (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ZFK TSC (W) ZFK Spartak Subotica (W)

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ZFK TSC (W) ZFK Spartak Subotica (W)

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.8

ZFK TSC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ZFK TSC (W) ZFK Spartak Subotica (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

ZFK TSC (W) ↓ -0.40 (-14.5%)

ZFK Spartak Subotica (W) ↑ +1.05 (+47.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.