Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 vs Port FC U21

17 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21

Port FC U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% 1.74 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 24.5% 3.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.6% win probability, compared with 52.6% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 Port FC U21

Shots 17.3 · On target 7.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Nong Bua Pitchaya U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 Port FC U21

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 Port FC U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Nong Bua Pitchaya U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nong Bua Pitchaya U21 = (0.0%)

Port FC U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.