Almagro Reserves vs Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

17 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Almagro Reserves

Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.7% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% 2.62 DRAW 29.4% 3.04 AWAY 36.5% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Almagro Reserves Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Almagro Reserves Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Club Atletico Mitre Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Almagro Reserves Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Atletico Mitre Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Almagro Reserves ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

Club Atletico Mitre Reserves ↓ -0.25 (-9.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.