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Hungary Cup · HU

SC Sopron vs Szolnoki Mav FC

28 Oct 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for SC Sopron. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results.

The visitors have struggled to obtain positive results. Defensive difficulties have been apparent.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.75 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.75. At this price, a home win for SC Sopron does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
SC Sopron
STOCHASTICBET 57.2%
PINNACLE 51.5% odd 1.75
DIFFERENCE +5.8 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.4%
PINNACLE 23.5% odd 3.82
DIFFERENCE -1.1 pp
AWAY
Szolnoki Mav FC
STOCHASTICBET 20.4%
PINNACLE 25.0% odd 3.59
DIFFERENCE -4.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 28 Oct 2026 · 15:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

SC Sopron has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
SC Sopron Szolnoki Mav FC
Shots 19.8 · On target 12.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours SC Sopron, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
SC Sopron Szolnoki Mav FC
Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.5

SC Sopron has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
SC Sopron Szolnoki Mav FC

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Sopron.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-28 15:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Hungary Cup · 53 matches with scores · 8 with shots · coverage 15.1%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

SC Sopron6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WLWWDW
Shot data available for 3/6 matches
Szolnoki Mav FC6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLDLLD
Shot data available for 3/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SC SopronHome team
—Insufficient data
Szolnoki Mav FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SC Sopron: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesSzolnoki Mav FC: — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SC SopronHome team
—Insufficient data
Szolnoki Mav FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SC Sopron: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesSzolnoki Mav FC: — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SC SopronHome team
—Insufficient data
Szolnoki Mav FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SC Sopron: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesSzolnoki Mav FC: — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SC SopronHome team
—Insufficient data
Szolnoki Mav FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SC Sopron: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesSzolnoki Mav FC: — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
SC SopronHome team
−0.232.33 actual
Szolnoki Mav FCAway team
−0.392.17 actual
SC Sopron: 2.33 · league average 2.56 · 6 valid matchesSzolnoki Mav FC: 2.17 · league average 2.56 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SC SopronHome team
—Insufficient data
Szolnoki Mav FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SC Sopron: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesSzolnoki Mav FC: — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
SC SopronHome team
—Insufficient data
Szolnoki Mav FCAway team
—Insufficient data
SC Sopron: — · league average — · 3 valid matchesSzolnoki Mav FC: — · league average — · 3 valid matches

Individual match details

SC Sopron · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Home3–116 / 910 / 5
17/10/2026Away1–3——
10/10/2026Home3–022 / 618 / 3
04/10/2026Away3–013 / 69 / 0
26/09/2026Home1–1——
19/09/2026Away3–2——
Szolnoki Mav FC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
24/10/2026Away2–319 / 143 / 6
17/10/2026Home2–3——
10/10/2026Away1–13 / 131 / 8
03/10/2026Home3–4——
26/09/2026Away1–26 / 212 / 10
19/09/2026Home4–4——

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.