Brentwood Town vs Maldon Tiptree FC

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Brentwood Town

Maldon Tiptree FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% DRAW 19.3% AWAY 22.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% 1.68 DRAW 20.6% 4.55 AWAY 23.5% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Brentwood Town

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brentwood Town Maldon Tiptree FC

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 1.0 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Brentwood Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brentwood Town Maldon Tiptree FC

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Maldon Tiptree FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brentwood Town Maldon Tiptree FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Brentwood Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Brentwood Town ↑ +0.18 (+12.0%)

Maldon Tiptree FC ↓ -1.44 (-26.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.