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Bangladesh Premier League · BD

Arambagh KS vs Bashundhara Kings

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00
NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp
Arambagh KS
Bashundhara Kings
HOME 8.5% DRAW 15.5% AWAY 76.0%
HOME 7.9% 11.80 DRAW 15.6% 6.00 AWAY 76.5% 1.22

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bashundhara Kings

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Arambagh KS Bashundhara Kings
Shots 4.3 · On target 1.5 Shots 3.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Arambagh KS Bashundhara Kings
Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.0

Bashundhara Kings has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Arambagh KS Bashundhara Kings

The combined recent performance profile favours Bashundhara Kings.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Arambagh KS ↑ +0.80 (+7.3%)
Bashundhara Kings ↑ +0.06 (+4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.