Bangladesh Police Club vs Rahmatgonj MFS

18 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Bangladesh Police Club

Rahmatgonj MFS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.9% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 14.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.0% 1.49 DRAW 22.4% 4.20 AWAY 14.6% 6.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bangladesh Police Club

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bangladesh Police Club Rahmatgonj MFS

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bangladesh Police Club Rahmatgonj MFS

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Bangladesh Police Club has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bangladesh Police Club Rahmatgonj MFS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bangladesh Police Club ↓ -0.48 (-24.4%)

Rahmatgonj MFS ↑ +3.19 (+98.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.