Wexford FC (W) vs Galway (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.7 pp

Wexford FC (W)

Galway (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.0% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 58.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.3% 4.52 DRAW 25.8% 3.55 AWAY 53.8% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Galway (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.5% win probability, compared with 53.8% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Galway (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wexford FC (W) Galway (W)

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Galway (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wexford FC (W) Galway (W)

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Galway (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wexford FC (W) Galway (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Galway (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Wexford FC (W) ↑ +1.12 (+33.0%)

Galway (W) ↓ -0.15 (-7.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.