Tristan Suarez vs CA Atlanta

21 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Tristan Suarez

CA Atlanta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.5% DRAW 31.5% AWAY 20.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.0% 1.90 DRAW 30.6% 3.11 AWAY 19.4% 4.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Atlanta

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tristan Suarez CA Atlanta

Shots 5.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours CA Atlanta, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tristan Suarez CA Atlanta

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tristan Suarez CA Atlanta

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tristan Suarez ↓ -0.18 (-8.7%)

CA Atlanta ↑ +0.73 (+17.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.