Ferroviaria SP U20 vs Flamengo SP U20

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Ferroviaria SP U20

Flamengo SP U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.4% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 16.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.2% 1.53 DRAW 23.4% 4.00 AWAY 15.4% 6.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Flamengo SP U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ferroviaria SP U20 Flamengo SP U20

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ferroviaria SP U20 Flamengo SP U20

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ferroviaria SP U20 Flamengo SP U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Ferroviaria SP U20 = (0.0%)

Flamengo SP U20 ↑ +1.10 (+22.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.