EC Agua Santa U20 vs Capivariano U20

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

EC Agua Santa U20

Capivariano U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 40.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% 3.02 DRAW 29.2% 3.25 AWAY 39.5% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Capivariano U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

EC Agua Santa U20 Capivariano U20

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

EC Agua Santa U20 Capivariano U20

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

EC Agua Santa U20 Capivariano U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

EC Agua Santa U20 ↑ +0.82 (+37.3%)

Capivariano U20 ↓ -0.35 (-12.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.