Santo Andre U20 vs Sertaozinho FC U20

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

Santo Andre U20

Sertaozinho FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 19.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% 1.83 DRAW 26.3% 3.60 AWAY 22.1% 4.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Santo Andre U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.9% win probability, compared with 51.6% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Santo Andre U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santo Andre U20 Sertaozinho FC U20

Shots 13.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Santo Andre U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santo Andre U20 Sertaozinho FC U20

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Santo Andre U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santo Andre U20 Sertaozinho FC U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Santo Andre U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Santo Andre U20 ↓ -0.52 (-22.0%)

Sertaozinho FC U20 ↑ +1.64 (+62.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.