Guarani SP U20 vs Uniao Suzano AC U20

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Guarani SP U20

Uniao Suzano AC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.8% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 11.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.7% 1.44 DRAW 20.7% 4.78 AWAY 10.6% 9.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Uniao Suzano AC U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guarani SP U20 Uniao Suzano AC U20

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guarani SP U20 Uniao Suzano AC U20

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Uniao Suzano AC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guarani SP U20 Uniao Suzano AC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Guarani SP U20 = (0.0%)

Uniao Suzano AC U20 ↑ +3.60 (+62.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.