Sfera FC U20 vs XV Piracicaba U20

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Sfera FC U20

XV Piracicaba U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 25.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% 1.95 DRAW 26.9% 3.50 AWAY 24.9% 3.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sfera FC U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sfera FC U20 XV Piracicaba U20

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Sfera FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sfera FC U20 XV Piracicaba U20

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0

XV Piracicaba U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sfera FC U20 XV Piracicaba U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sfera FC U20 ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

XV Piracicaba U20 ↑ +0.39 (+11.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.