Tzeirey Haifa SC vs Beitar Haifa Yakov

18 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Tzeirey Haifa SC

Beitar Haifa Yakov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 36.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% 2.50 DRAW 24.7% 3.70 AWAY 38.8% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Tzeirey Haifa SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.4% win probability, compared with 36.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tzeirey Haifa SC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tzeirey Haifa SC Beitar Haifa Yakov

Shots 12.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Tzeirey Haifa SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tzeirey Haifa SC Beitar Haifa Yakov

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tzeirey Haifa SC Beitar Haifa Yakov

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tzeirey Haifa SC ↑ +0.25 (+11.1%)

Beitar Haifa Yakov ↓ -0.15 (-6.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.