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Poland Cup · PL

Sokol Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ

28 Oct 2026 · 12:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for Podhale Nowy Targ. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have often remained competitive without securing many victories. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Attacking returns have been concentrated in a limited number of matches. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded, although a greater share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.12 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.19. At this price, an away win for Podhale Nowy Targ does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Sokol Kleczew
STOCHASTICBET 29.0%
PINNACLE 31.7% odd 2.85
DIFFERENCE -2.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 25.2%
PINNACLE 25.6% odd 3.53
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Podhale Nowy Targ
STOCHASTICBET 45.7%
PINNACLE 42.7% odd 2.12
DIFFERENCE +3.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 15:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Podhale Nowy Targ has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Sokol Kleczew Podhale Nowy Targ
Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Sokol Kleczew Podhale Nowy Targ
Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Podhale Nowy Targ has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Sokol Kleczew Podhale Nowy Targ

The combined recent performance profile favours Podhale Nowy Targ.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 22:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Poland Cup · 42 matches with scores · 1 with shots · coverage 2.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Sokol Kleczew6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WDLLDD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Podhale Nowy Targ6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DDDWLW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sokol KleczewHome team
—Insufficient data
Podhale Nowy TargAway team
—Insufficient data
Sokol Kleczew: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesPodhale Nowy Targ: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sokol KleczewHome team
—Insufficient data
Podhale Nowy TargAway team
—Insufficient data
Sokol Kleczew: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesPodhale Nowy Targ: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sokol KleczewHome team
—Insufficient data
Podhale Nowy TargAway team
—Insufficient data
Sokol Kleczew: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesPodhale Nowy Targ: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sokol KleczewHome team
—Insufficient data
Podhale Nowy TargAway team
—Insufficient data
Sokol Kleczew: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesPodhale Nowy Targ: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Sokol KleczewHome team
−0.091.50 actual
Podhale Nowy TargAway team
−0.061.50 actual
Sokol Kleczew: 1.50 · league average 1.59 · 6 valid matchesPodhale Nowy Targ: 1.50 · league average 1.56 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Sokol KleczewHome team
—Insufficient data
Podhale Nowy TargAway team
—Insufficient data
Sokol Kleczew: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesPodhale Nowy Targ: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Sokol KleczewHome team
—Insufficient data
Podhale Nowy TargAway team
—Insufficient data
Sokol Kleczew: — · league average — · 6 valid matchesPodhale Nowy Targ: — · league average — · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Sokol Kleczew · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
23/10/2026Home4–213 / 87 / 5
18/10/2026Away0–06 / 211 / 4
11/10/2026Home1–29 / 214 / 6
03/10/2026Away1–28 / 133 / 4
18/09/2026Home2–26 / 334 / 7
11/09/2026Home1–112 / 95 / 1
Podhale Nowy Targ · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
25/10/2026Away0–03 / 40 / 0
18/10/2026Home0–05 / 62 / 3
09/10/2026Away2–213 / 79 / 2
03/10/2026Home2–123 / 116 / 5
19/09/2026Away0–312 / 143 / 5
12/09/2026Home5–05 / 05 / 0

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.