Real San Cosme vs Correcaminos III

19 Sep 2026 · 03:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Real San Cosme

Correcaminos III

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.4% DRAW 19.5% AWAY 68.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.6% 7.50 DRAW 20.1% 4.70 AWAY 67.4% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Real San Cosme

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real San Cosme Correcaminos III

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Real San Cosme, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real San Cosme Correcaminos III

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 9.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Correcaminos III has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real San Cosme Correcaminos III

The combined recent performance profile favours Correcaminos III.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Real San Cosme ↑ +1.75 (+30.4%)

Correcaminos III = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.