Kenya U20 vs South Sudan U20

19 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Kenya U20

South Sudan U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.8% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 11.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.8% 1.40 DRAW 18.2% 5.50 AWAY 10.0% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: South Sudan U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kenya U20 South Sudan U20

Shots 1.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours South Sudan U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kenya U20 South Sudan U20

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Kenya U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kenya U20 South Sudan U20

The combined recent performance profile favours South Sudan U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Kenya U20 ↑ +0.20 (+16.3%)

South Sudan U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.