EPS (W) vs TuWe (W)

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

EPS (W)

TuWe (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 35.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.15 DRAW 22.7% 3.98 AWAY 35.4% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: EPS (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

EPS (W) TuWe (W)

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours EPS (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

EPS (W) TuWe (W)

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0

TuWe (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

EPS (W) TuWe (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

EPS (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

TuWe (W) ↑ +0.05 (+2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.