Auckland FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers

19 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.1 pp

Auckland FC

Western Sydney Wanderers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 26.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% 1.62 DRAW 22.3% 4.00 AWAY 22.3% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Western Sydney Wanderers clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 26.4% win probability, compared with 22.3% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Western Sydney Wanderers

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Auckland FC Western Sydney Wanderers

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 17.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Western Sydney Wanderers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Auckland FC Western Sydney Wanderers

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Auckland FC Western Sydney Wanderers

The combined recent performance profile favours Western Sydney Wanderers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Auckland FC = (0.0%)

Western Sydney Wanderers = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.