MS Netanya vs MK Tzofi Haifa

18 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +10.6 pp

MS Netanya

MK Tzofi Haifa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.7% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 18.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.2% 1.75 DRAW 20.7% 4.50 AWAY 26.1% 3.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates MS Netanya substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.7% win probability, compared with 53.2% implied by the market. The 10.6 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

MS Netanya has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

MS Netanya MK Tzofi Haifa

Shots 16.5 · On target 9.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours MS Netanya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MS Netanya MK Tzofi Haifa

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 7.8

MS Netanya has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MS Netanya MK Tzofi Haifa

The combined recent performance profile favours MS Netanya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

MS Netanya ↑ +0.02 (+1.3%)

MK Tzofi Haifa ↑ +0.36 (+11.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.