Shatin vs Lee Man FC

19 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Shatin

Lee Man FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 3.6% DRAW 6.6% AWAY 89.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 4.1% 23.00 DRAW 7.8% 12.00 AWAY 88.1% 1.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Lee Man FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shatin Lee Man FC

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Lee Man FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shatin Lee Man FC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Lee Man FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shatin Lee Man FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Lee Man FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Shatin ↑ +4.00 (+21.1%)

Lee Man FC ↑ +0.01 (+0.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.