Ituano U20 vs Palmeiras U20

21 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Ituano U20

Palmeiras U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 5.9% DRAW 16.4% AWAY 77.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 6.8% 14.10 DRAW 17.5% 5.50 AWAY 75.7% 1.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Palmeiras U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ituano U20 Palmeiras U20

Shots 13.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 18.8 · On target 10.5

Recent attacking output favours Palmeiras U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ituano U20 Palmeiras U20

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Palmeiras U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ituano U20 Palmeiras U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Palmeiras U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ituano U20 ↑ +8.50 (+151.8%)

Palmeiras U20 ↓ -0.18 (-12.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.