Maccabi Ironi Netivot vs Hapoel Ashkelon

18 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.7 pp

Maccabi Ironi Netivot

Hapoel Ashkelon

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.2% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 54.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% 3.40 DRAW 23.6% 3.80 AWAY 49.9% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Hapoel Ashkelon clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.6% win probability, compared with 49.9% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Ashkelon has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Ironi Netivot Hapoel Ashkelon

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Ashkelon, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Ironi Netivot Hapoel Ashkelon

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Hapoel Ashkelon has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Ironi Netivot Hapoel Ashkelon

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Ashkelon.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maccabi Ironi Netivot = (0.0%)

Hapoel Ashkelon = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.