Santos U20 vs Jabaquara AC SP U20

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Santos U20

Jabaquara AC SP U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 92.8% DRAW 4.9% AWAY 2.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 90.6% 1.06 DRAW 6.4% 15.00 AWAY 3.0% 32.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Santos U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santos U20 Jabaquara AC SP U20

Shots 13.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Santos U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santos U20 Jabaquara AC SP U20

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Santos U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santos U20 Jabaquara AC SP U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Santos U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Santos U20 ↓ -0.10 (-8.6%)

Jabaquara AC SP U20 ↑ +20.50 (+178.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.