Corinthians U20 vs XV de Jau U20

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Corinthians U20

XV de Jau U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.8% DRAW 12.7% AWAY 7.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.2% 1.24 DRAW 13.9% 7.00 AWAY 7.9% 12.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Corinthians U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Corinthians U20 XV de Jau U20

Shots 15.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Corinthians U20 XV de Jau U20

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Corinthians U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Corinthians U20 XV de Jau U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Corinthians U20 ↓ -0.01 (-0.8%)

XV de Jau U20 ↑ +3.80 (+44.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.