Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Uruguay Montevideo

Rentistas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 46.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.2% 3.44 DRAW 29.0% 3.23 AWAY 43.8% 2.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Rentistas has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uruguay Montevideo Rentistas

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Rentistas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uruguay Montevideo Rentistas

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Rentistas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uruguay Montevideo Rentistas

The combined recent performance profile favours Rentistas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Uruguay Montevideo ↑ +0.04 (+1.2%)

Rentistas ↑ +0.12 (+6.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.