Matiguas FC vs Rio Blanco

21 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Matiguas FC

Rio Blanco

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 32.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% 2.20 DRAW 27.0% 3.30 AWAY 32.4% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Matiguas FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Matiguas FC Rio Blanco

Shots 2.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 1.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Matiguas FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Matiguas FC Rio Blanco

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.3

Rio Blanco has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Matiguas FC Rio Blanco

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Matiguas FC = (0.0%)

Rio Blanco = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.