Pocheon Citizen FC vs Busan Trans Corp

19 Sep 2026 · 09:50

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Pocheon Citizen FC

Busan Trans Corp

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 18.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% 1.66 DRAW 24.1% 3.80 AWAY 20.7% 4.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Pocheon Citizen FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.6% win probability, compared with 55.2% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Busan Trans Corp

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pocheon Citizen FC Busan Trans Corp

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Busan Trans Corp, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pocheon Citizen FC Busan Trans Corp

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 10.0

Pocheon Citizen FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pocheon Citizen FC Busan Trans Corp

The combined recent performance profile favours Pocheon Citizen FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pocheon Citizen FC = (0.0%)

Busan Trans Corp = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.