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Belarus Premier League · BY

Dinamo Minsk vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

19 Oct 2026 · 19:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Different Recent Results for the Two Sides

The home side have won their last 4 matches, while the visitors have lost their last 2 matches.

The home side's shooting accuracy was 69.2% in the latest two matches with complete shooting data, compared with 38.9% in the earlier matches with complete data. Shot conversion was 23.1%, compared with 5.6% in the earlier sample.

Across 5 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 12.4 shots per match and conceded 4 goals in that sample. Across 6 such matches, the visitors averaged 5.7 shots per match and conceded 13 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 1.83 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.37. The visitors averaged 0.67 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.32.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Dinamo Minsk has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Dinamo Minsk FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Shots 13.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Minsk, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Dinamo Minsk FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Dinamo Minsk FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Minsk.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Belarus Premier League · 164 matches with scores · 141 with shots · coverage 86.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Dinamo Minsk6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WWWWLD
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLDDLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo MinskHome team
+3.812.4 actual
FK Arsenal DzyarzhynskAway team
−2.85.7 actual
Dinamo Minsk: 12.4 · league average 8.6 · 5 valid matchesFK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 5.7 · league average 8.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo MinskHome team
+0.79.0 actual
FK Arsenal DzyarzhynskAway team
+3.912.3 actual
Dinamo Minsk: 9.0 · league average 8.3 · 5 valid matchesFK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 12.3 · league average 8.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo MinskHome team
+2.56.4 actual
FK Arsenal DzyarzhynskAway team
−1.92.0 actual
Dinamo Minsk: 6.4 · league average 3.9 · 5 valid matchesFK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 2.0 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo MinskHome team
+0.44.2 actual
FK Arsenal DzyarzhynskAway team
+2.76.5 actual
Dinamo Minsk: 4.2 · league average 3.8 · 5 valid matchesFK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 6.5 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Dinamo MinskHome team
+0.461.83 actual
FK Arsenal DzyarzhynskAway team
−0.650.67 actual
Dinamo Minsk: 1.83 · league average 1.37 · 6 valid matchesFK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 0.67 · league average 1.32 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Dinamo MinskHome team
−3.1 pp12.9% actual
FK Arsenal DzyarzhynskAway team
−4.1 pp11.8% actual
Dinamo Minsk: 12.9% · league average 16.0% · 5 valid matchesFK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 11.8% · league average 15.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Dinamo MinskHome team
−6.8 pp8.9% actual
FK Arsenal DzyarzhynskAway team
+1.7 pp17.6% actual
Dinamo Minsk: 8.9% · league average 15.7% · 5 valid matchesFK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 17.6% · league average 15.9% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Dinamo Minsk · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
15/10/2026Home3–119 / 611 / 3
11/10/2026Away3–27 / 157 / 8
04/10/2026Home3–0——
19/09/2026Home2–017 / 78 / 5
13/09/2026Home0–110 / 93 / 3
06/09/2026Away0–09 / 83 / 2
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
09/10/2026Home0–15 / 32 / 3
18/09/2026Away1–55 / 162 / 7
12/09/2026Home0–04 / 92 / 4
07/09/2026Away1–13 / 172 / 8
30/08/2026Home2–49 / 162 / 11
22/08/2026Away0–28 / 132 / 6

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.