Pogon Szczecin II vs Iskierka Szczecin

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.6 pp

Pogon Szczecin II

Iskierka Szczecin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.1% DRAW 14.3% AWAY 7.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.5% 1.29 DRAW 17.5% 5.25 AWAY 11.0% 8.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Pogon Szczecin II substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.1% win probability, compared with 71.5% implied by the market. The 6.6 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Pogon Szczecin II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pogon Szczecin II Iskierka Szczecin

Shots 26.5 · On target 13.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Pogon Szczecin II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pogon Szczecin II Iskierka Szczecin

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Pogon Szczecin II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pogon Szczecin II Iskierka Szczecin

The combined recent performance profile favours Pogon Szczecin II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pogon Szczecin II = (0.0%)

Iskierka Szczecin = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.