Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves vs Municipal Limeno Reserves

22 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +4.0 pp

Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves

Municipal Limeno Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 81.8% DRAW 11.7% AWAY 6.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.8% 1.17 DRAW 14.0% 6.50 AWAY 8.2% 11.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 81.8% win probability, compared with 77.8% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves Municipal Limeno Reserves

Shots 16.3 · On target 8.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves Municipal Limeno Reserves

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves Municipal Limeno Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves = (0.0%)

Municipal Limeno Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.