Vardar Skopje U19 vs Shkendija Tetovo U19

19 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Vardar Skopje U19

Shkendija Tetovo U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.0% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 23.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.0% 1.78 DRAW 21.8% 4.33 AWAY 25.2% 3.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vardar Skopje U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.0% win probability, compared with 53.0% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vardar Skopje U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vardar Skopje U19 Shkendija Tetovo U19

Shots 21.5 · On target 11.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Vardar Skopje U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vardar Skopje U19 Shkendija Tetovo U19

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Shkendija Tetovo U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vardar Skopje U19 Shkendija Tetovo U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vardar Skopje U19 = (0.0%)

Shkendija Tetovo U19 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.