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Poland IV Liga · PL

KS Lomianki vs Hutnik Warsaw

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00
NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp
KS Lomianki
Hutnik Warsaw
HOME 8.6% DRAW 13.3% AWAY 78.1%
HOME 9.1% 10.30 DRAW 14.4% 6.50 AWAY 76.5% 1.22

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Hutnik Warsaw has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
KS Lomianki Hutnik Warsaw
Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output favours Hutnik Warsaw, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
KS Lomianki Hutnik Warsaw
Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
KS Lomianki Hutnik Warsaw

The combined recent performance profile favours Hutnik Warsaw.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

KS Lomianki ↑ +3.30 (+47.1%)
Hutnik Warsaw = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.