Stellenbosch FC (W) vs UWC (W)

19 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Stellenbosch FC (W)

UWC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.5% DRAW 19.3% AWAY 72.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.2% 9.25 DRAW 20.7% 4.55 AWAY 69.1% 1.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for UWC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 72.2% win probability, compared with 69.1% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

UWC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stellenbosch FC (W) UWC (W)

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours UWC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stellenbosch FC (W) UWC (W)

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0

UWC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stellenbosch FC (W) UWC (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours UWC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Stellenbosch FC (W) ↑ +2.25 (+32.1%)

UWC (W) ↓ -0.06 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.