Nippon Steel Oita vs NIFS Kanoya FC

19 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

Nippon Steel Oita

NIFS Kanoya FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.9% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 54.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.1% 3.60 DRAW 23.7% 3.97 AWAY 50.3% 1.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates NIFS Kanoya FC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.9% win probability, compared with 50.3% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

NIFS Kanoya FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nippon Steel Oita NIFS Kanoya FC

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours NIFS Kanoya FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nippon Steel Oita NIFS Kanoya FC

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

NIFS Kanoya FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nippon Steel Oita NIFS Kanoya FC

The combined recent performance profile favours NIFS Kanoya FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nippon Steel Oita ↓ -1.01 (-21.8%)

NIFS Kanoya FC ↑ +0.25 (+15.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.