NC Magra vs US Chaouia

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

NC Magra

US Chaouia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% DRAW 32.9% AWAY 36.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% 2.87 DRAW 32.4% 2.88 AWAY 35.2% 2.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

US Chaouia has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NC Magra US Chaouia

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours US Chaouia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NC Magra US Chaouia

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.3

US Chaouia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NC Magra US Chaouia

The combined recent performance profile favours US Chaouia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NC Magra ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

US Chaouia ↑ +0.14 (+5.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.