ES Mostaganem vs NA Hussein Dey

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

ES Mostaganem

NA Hussein Dey

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 29.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.19 DRAW 29.8% 3.10 AWAY 28.0% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

NA Hussein Dey has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ES Mostaganem NA Hussein Dey

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours NA Hussein Dey, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ES Mostaganem NA Hussein Dey

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ES Mostaganem NA Hussein Dey

The combined recent performance profile favours NA Hussein Dey.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ES Mostaganem ↑ +0.52 (+31.5%)

NA Hussein Dey ↓ -1.20 (-26.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.