Diegem Sport vs Bocholter VV

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.6 pp

Diegem Sport

Bocholter VV

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.9% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 18.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% 1.75 DRAW 21.9% 4.33 AWAY 23.7% 4.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Diegem Sport substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.9% win probability, compared with 54.3% implied by the market. The 7.6 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Diegem Sport has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Diegem Sport Bocholter VV

Shots 19.8 · On target 8.3 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Diegem Sport, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Diegem Sport Bocholter VV

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Diegem Sport Bocholter VV

The combined recent performance profile favours Diegem Sport.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Diegem Sport = (0.0%)

Bocholter VV ↑ +0.81 (+25.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.