Emmarentia Pirates (W) vs JVW FC (W) B

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.6 pp

Emmarentia Pirates (W)

JVW FC (W) B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% 1.92 DRAW 24.1% 3.80 AWAY 28.2% 3.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Emmarentia Pirates (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.3% win probability, compared with 47.7% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Emmarentia Pirates (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Emmarentia Pirates (W) JVW FC (W) B

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Emmarentia Pirates (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Emmarentia Pirates (W) JVW FC (W) B

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 8.3

Emmarentia Pirates (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Emmarentia Pirates (W) JVW FC (W) B

The combined recent performance profile favours Emmarentia Pirates (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Emmarentia Pirates (W) = (0.0%)

JVW FC (W) B = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.